Can DEX Boom Save Cardano? ADA Seeks Recovery As Trading Activity Surges

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Cardano (ADA), the smart contract platform, has been facing a rough patch recently. While the broader DeFi sector has seen an uptick in DEX volumes, Cardano’s Total Value Locked (TVL) has plummeted, raising concerns about the health of its ecosystem.

DeFi Activity And NFT Market Slump

Despite the surge in DEX volumes across the crypto landscape, Cardano’s TVL has witnessed a significant decline, dropping from $430 million to $230 million, according to data from Artemis, a leading blockchain data provider. This suggests a lack of interest in dApps built on the Cardano network, potentially hindering its long-term growth prospects.

The NFT space on Cardano has also taken a hit. Popular NFT collections have seen a dramatic decrease in floor price and overall trading volume over the past month. This waning interest in Cardano NFTs could further dampen investor sentiment and negatively impact the price of ADA.

Source: Artemis

Cardano: Technical Indicators Flash Warning Signs

The technical outlook for ADA is currently bearish. The price has been trending downwards over the past few weeks, forming multiple lower lows and lower highs. Additionally, key technical indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and CMF (Chaikin Money Flow) are pointing towards declining bullish momentum and money flow into ADA.

ADA sentiment. Source: CoinCodex

Beyond the immediate price and DeFi woes, other factors raise concerns about Cardano’s future. The velocity of ADA, indicating the frequency of token exchange, has fallen significantly, suggesting decreased trading activity. Additionally, the MVRV ratio, a measure of profitability for token holders, has also dropped, implying that most ADA addresses are currently underwater.

Cardano Price Forecast

While Cardano remains a prominent player in the blockchain space, the recent developments highlight the challenges it faces. The combination of declining price, waning DeFi and NFT activity, and negative on-chain metrics suggests a potential for further downside in the short term.

ADA market cap currently at $16 billion. Chart:

Cardano is expected to experience a modest increase in price, reaching $0.47 by June 30, 2024, indicating a predicted rise of nearly 5%. However, it’s important to consider various technical indicators and market sentiment to assess the potential movement of the asset.

The crypto’s bearish sentiment may be influenced by factors such as market trends, news events, or technical analysis patterns. Additionally, the Fear & Greed Index stands at 73, indicating a state of Greed among market participants. This suggests that investors may be more inclined to take risks or engage in speculative behavior, which could potentially impact Cardano’s price movement.

It’s noteworthy that ADA has experienced significant price fluctuations in the past. Its highest price of $3.10 was reached on September 2, 2021, marking its all-time high, while its lowest price of $0.017 was recorded on October 1, 2017, representing its all-time low. These historical price points highlight the volatility and potential for significant price swings within the Cardano market.

Featured image from ReddSparks Crypto Blog, chart from TradingView

Christian Encila

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that’s not just a metaphor, it’s a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn. Christian’s journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later). Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling – right up his alley! So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he’s one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill). Think Christian’s all work and no play? Not a chance! When he’s not at his computer, you’ll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair. Speaking of chill, Christian’s got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better. Here’s the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day – and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies. Looking ahead, Christian sees a future intertwined with NewsBTC and Bitcoinist. He says he sees himself “growing old” alongside these companies, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors – and bosses – he deeply respects. So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

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